Editorial Comment
People often ask me if I think that Benny will get back in and I answer that I think he will, but rather thanks to the decline in the PP and PSOE, than to a massive swing in his favour.
The PP Central Government has lost many of its supporters thanks to the Gurtel/Barcenas scandals and because they have done just about everything that they promised that they wouldn’t upon taking up power: raise taxes, slash education and health and reduce pensions.
The PSOE, on the other hand, still governing the regional government (Junta) has been rocked by their own corruption scandal (ERE’s) and still hasn’t recovered, on a national level from their debacle in the last general elections.
The result is that minor national parties and all the regional parties are showing increased voting tendencies. Many PP and PSOE voters are swinging towards the UPyD (Rosa Diez) whilst disenchanted left-wing voters are swinging towards the more leftist IU option, deserting the centre-left PSOE.
Regionally, the PA is likely to rake in disaffected voters, but the question is, just how many local PA voters will be turned off by the return of Benny to the party?
Has the PP under Trini Herrera done a good job so far? Yes and no – the municipal market crisis is a case in point. Has the PSOE under Paco Prados really done anything to impress the waning PSOE voters? Not really, but then again, neither has he done anything negative.
In short, Benny stands to gain from PP and PSOE defectors but could lose local PA voters.
So, what do you think?
(News/Opinion: Almunecar, Costa Tropical, Granada, Andalucia)
