Election Rerun

SPN Congreso OnLIt appears to be inevitable; the King is set to give the go ahead for the dissolution of Parliament on the 2nd of May for the General Election to be held on June the 26th.

This course of action bears testament to the inability of the nation’s politicians to rise above party rivalry and provide Spain with a stable government.

On Monday the 25th and Tuesday the 26th, the King will receive the main party leaders to hear if they have come to some coalition agreement that will give them a parliamentary majority. Yet not the party leaders themselves, or any media source or political analyst considers that there is the merest probability of this.

This concluded, the King will order the dissolution of the Houses of Parliament on the 2nd of May and the commencement of a two month election campaign culminating on the 26th of June with the General Election.

As is predictable, each party is blaming the other for this state of affairs, which means that an election-weary general public will be bombarded with a 2-month general-election campaign swamping the national and regional media.

And that is not to mention the cost to the public purse that this election rerun has after four months of sterile wrangling since the General Election was held on the 20th of December.

Precisely because of the recent string of elections; municipal, regional and national, followed by four months of bickering between the four main parties, there is a very real fear amongst the major parties that a very sizable number of Spaniards will not even bother to vote, disgusted as they are with the nations’ political body.

On top of that, many fear that the results on the 26th of June will be pretty much as they were on the 20th of December, in which case, we’re back to square one and a month or two of more bickering; i.e. the country having been without a functioning government for around ten months.

Is there a chance that this scenario can be avoided? According to political commentators and party spokespeople – next to none. There is a very tiny chance that the socialist leader, Pedro Sanchéz could go against his own party directives and abandon his centrist stance and join up with the far left (IU and Podemos) plus the regional separatist parties to form a government.

However, whilst this might mean the political survival of Sánchez as Prime Minister – the party would certainly not sack him in such a scenario – it would mean the end to the oldest party in Spain, the PSOE, in any future election by losing credibility within the all-important centre ground.

Summing up, if elections are called there will be two major battles: one between the governing party, the PP, and the new centre-right party, Ciudadanos, for the centre right vote. On the other side of the political spectrum, the PSOE will fight to retain its position as flagship of the left-wing vote against newcomers Podemos, who are set to swallow up the IU and push the socialists off the stage.

One thing is for certain, if the cost of an electoral rerun came out of the pockets of our politicians, we would have had a stable government within a fortnight of the 20th of December General Election.

(News/Political Analysis: Spain)

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